The Refugee Crisis: Reshaping Europe

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Refugees and migrants have been travelling to Europe in their hundred of thousands, fleeing conflict and persecution in Syria, Iraq, Afghanistan and elsewhere.

The extraordinary numbers of people arriving has placed huge strains on Europe and posed immense challenges to its governments and institutions. 


 

362,775 Syrians applied for asylum in the EU for the first time in 2015


First time asylum applicants in the EU (Syrian citizens in 2015)

Data: Eurostat

Arrivals to Europe via the Mediterranean

Data from the UN Refugee Agency

Dead or missing having attempted the journey


The people

The huge spike, apparent at first in 2014 before accelerating to unprecedented levels in 2015, comes at a time of violence and unrest in the Middle East and in some African countries.

Between the third quarter of 2014 and the third quarter of 2015, Syrians made the most asylum applications by citizenship in the European Union. Since 2011, Syria has been devastated by a civil war between the brutal regime of President Bashar al-Assad and his now fractured opponents. The instability in Syria, and neighbouring Iraq, was seized upon by ISIS. Syrians, and Iraqis, fleeing to Europe are attempting to escape the horrors of their country - the horrors of Assad, of ISIS and of others. 

Of the 997,125 first time asylum applications in the twelve month period between Q3 2014 and Q3 2015, 251,665 were by Syrians and 71,570 were by Iraqis. 

The second most asylum applications by citizenship came from Afghanis (110,665) with Afghanistan another country beset by violence. 


The response

Search, rescue and patrol operations are in place in the Mediterranean but there continues to be incidents of shipwrecks and drownings on a regular basis with over 400 people dead or missing at sea so far this year. The Aegean Sea, which surrounds the Greek Islands, continues to be a hotspot for crossings with hundreds of people a day attempting the journey from the Greek coast.

For those fortunate to make it to Europe alive, the situation remains difficult. The European Commission has put in place a plan to relocate 160,000 refugees from Greece and Italy over two years from October 2015 but progress is painfully slow. As of January 2015, just 157 people of an initial 66,400 had been relocated from Greece and just 257 of an initial 39,600 from Italy.

A number of eastern European countries expressed opposition to the imposition of mandatory quotas on member states to take in some relocated refugees - Hungary's government said in February 2016 that it intended to hold a referendum on the matter. 

In March 2016, the EU agreed  a deal with Turkey aimed at easing the crisis. 


The key aspects of the EU-Turkey deal:

  • From March 20th, migrants who arrive on Greek islands from Turkey who are not eligible for or do not apply for asylum will be returned to Turkey.

  • For each Syrian migrant returned to Turkey, the EU will relocate a Syrian from Turkey with priority given to those who have not previously tried to illegally enter the EU. The number of places available under the scheme is a maximum 72,000. 

  • In return, EU will aim to lift visa requirements on Turkish travellers by the end of June and it will also speed up the dispersement of an initial €3 billion in aid. Turkey's accession process into the EU will be 're-energised'. 

The humanitarian response

  • The UN's Refugee Agency expressed concern about the plan and said that the safeguards set out in the agreement were not yet in place. 

  • When the provisional plan was published, Amnesty International accused leaders of having a 'persistent preoccupation' with sending people back to Turkey and said the plan was 'short-sighted' and 'inhumane'. When the final plan was agreed, Amnesty said it was flawed, illegal and immoral and warned that Turkey was not a safe country for migrants and refugees. 


Border controls 

The huge numbers of people arriving has placed a great deal of strain on the EU's Schengen Area.

Within The Schengen Area people can travel across internal borders freely, without being subjected to checks on their passports. All EU countries are members of the Schengen Area, except for Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Ireland, Romania and the United Kingdom. Iceland, Norway, Switzerland and Liechtenstein, all non-EU countries, are also part of the Schengen Area. 

Some EU states have reimposed border controls because of the large numbers of migrants and refugees crossing their territories. EU rules do allow states to temporarily impose border controls if there is a serious threat to public safety or internal security. 

 

  • Denmark: Controls on borders with Germany - introduced in January 2016. 

  • Norway: Controls on all internal borders, focus on ferries - introduced in January 2016.

  • Sweden: Controls on all borders, with a focus on certain harbours and the Öresund Bridge that connects Sweden with Denmark - introduced in January 2016. 

  • Austria: Controls on all borders, with a focus on the frontier with Slovenia. Austria-Slovenia border can only be crossed at designated points - introduced in November 2015. Austria began restricting asylum applications to 80 people a day in February 2016 and said it would only allow 3,200 refugees a day to cross its territory. 

  • Germany: Controls on all borders, with a focus on the Austrian frontier - introduced in November 2015. 

  • France: Controls on land and internal air borders - introduced in November 2015 following the Paris terror attacks and ahead of the UN Climate Summit. 

  • Belgium: Controls on the border with France as a precaution in case the French judicial system orders the deconstruction of the refugee camp in Calais, northern France - introduced in February 2016. 


Reforming the EU's asylum system

In March 2016, the European Commission began a process of considering reforms to the so-called Dublin regulation, which requires refugees to claim asylum in the first EU country they arrive in - however the differing response of individual EU nations to the refugee crisis has thrown the system into chaos and confusion. 

The Commission said it may propose scrapping the Dublin regulation altogether or amending it to include a 'corrective fairness mechanism'. 

The overall objective is to move from a system which by design or poor implementation
places a disproportionate responsibility on certain Member States and encourages
uncontrolled and irregular migratory flows to a fairer system which provides orderly and safe
pathways to the EU for third country nationals in need of protection or who can contribute to
the EU’s economic development.
— European Commission communication

Map of Europe

 

War in Yemen: Heavy civilian toll as Saudis seek to repel Houthi rebels

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Since March 2015, a coalition of Gulf nations led by Saudi Arabia has been carrying out military action in Yemen through extensive airstrikes and some ground troops. There have been thousands of civilian casualties.

The intervention was spurred by the advance of Shia Houthi rebels on the capital Sanaa in February 2015 and then on the southern port city of Aden. 

Yemen's military split, with some forces loyal to President Hadi, who is backed by the Gulf coalition, and others loyal to ex-president Saleh, who is aligned with the Houthis. 


The warring sides


The huge impact on Yemenis

  March 26th 2015 - March 17th 2016, UN data

March 26th 2015 - March 17th 2016, UN data

  UNICEF/WHO data

UNICEF/WHO data

  UN data

UN data

  WHO data

WHO data


Map of Yemen

 

War in Syria: Five Years and Counting

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Syria's complex civil war, which now involves numerous international actors and terrorist groups, began with pro-democracy protests in March 2011 against the authoritarian rule of President Bashar al-Assad. Since then over 250,000 people have lost their lives and millions of Syrians have been displaced both internally and externally. 



The 'red line' 

Despite having declared the use of chemical weapons a 'red line', President Barack Obama did not take military action against Syria after the country's government used chemical weapons against its own people in Damascus in August 2013. 

Instead, President Assad agreed to dismantle his arsenal of chemical weapons as part of a deal that came about after an apparently unprepared remark by Secretary of State John Kerry in September 2013 that the U.S may not take military action if the weapons were dismantled and destroyed. 

A deal, brokered with the help of Russia, was reached in September 2013. 


Stalemate and a power vacuum

With Syria's opposition forces fractured and the Assad regime having lost significant ground, the terror group ISIS emerged and declared a caliphate in Syria and Iraq in June 2014. 

U.S led coalition forces began airstrikes against ISIS targets in September 2014, while Russia began supporting the Assad regime against its opponents through airstrikes in September 2015. The Kremlin announced a pull back in March 2016, but its brief involvement helped the Assad regime regain a foothold in some key areas and consolidate what is left of its power. 

Peace talks aimed at finding a political solution to the conflict began in early 2016, while a cessation of hostilities was declared in March. 


Map of Syria